In my previous post I analyzed the TN situation with data available from the NSSO 1999-2000 survey. It was pointed out to me that I misunderestimated the urban population percentage. Well, have no fear, the exact figures are available from the 2001 census. Now, the contention was that urban population is less than what I had claimed. Now I am using data even more recent than the NSSO figures, so there is no scope for dispute. You can say that ideally I should use the latest rural/urban population percentage but it will distort the picture since the educational survey figures are from 1999-2000.As you can see above, TN OBCs as a whole do not qualify the NCBC criteria. I also repeated the analysis by varying the backwardedness among the 181 OBC castes assuming a Normal distribution:
Here is another chart, this time it compares TN OBCs with All India average:
In light of the recent developments, people are reacting strangely, which is understandable. Some folks believe that data exists and it is adequate. Some others believe the NSSO data is grossly inaccurate. Then there are absurd questions being asked.
Meanwhile, our esteemed leaders still do not want a caste based census. Our PM is down to hopes and prayers now.
For the rest of India, the NSSO data does not prove anything conclusive. When these surveys were done, the quotas were already in effect for decades. The only way to find out is by conducting a rigorous caste based census. This data will then need to be analysed against a caste based survey of student population and an expanded rank list of entrance examinations (say 10 times the number actually admitted).
This exercise however is a question of political will and honesty. No one knows what the data might reveal. The conjecture is that we will see that some dominant OBC castes are not backward at all and that these castes monopolize most of the reserved seats. For politicians it is a classic catch-22 situation. To fight the SC stay they need reasonable data. Reasonable data might threaten their political careers.
The right question to ask is, do you want quota or do you want social justice?
2 comments:
Did you construct all the tables you show here from the NSSO report number 473?
So from the second table in this post, for graduates, TN OBCs lag state aggregate by 16.04% (not the NCBC required 20%), and dont lag the national aggregate at all (1.02)?
I am surprised nobody over at the other thread has yet said 'NSSO evil brahmin aryan conspiracy. lets kill them b*..'. They may need a tamil/dravida edition.
Yes, stats are from that report.
Perhaps you are not aware, such conspiracy theories are already being floated. I read comments on a blog suggesting that the SC is biased. In my book, that is almost the same as demanding a separate nation.
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