f u cn rd ths u cn ndrstn d nuk dl

New rabbits are being pulled out of the hat every day. Now we have been informed that there are certain safeguards that must be kept secret. In other words, no one really has a clue. It is not even clear if they let various opposition leaders take a peep at those supposedly extremely sensitive documents.

But it is the red herring being dragged across the trail and not those rabbits that interests us. Here is a wild conspiracy theory and it sure does sound a lot more interesting than the copious amount of analysis being done on all the news channels.

How about the Left, SP and the Congress were in on it together in a well thought out plan?

1. Even as Prakash Karat seethes in uncontrollable fits of anger, A B Bardhan has virtually admitted that no love has been lost between the Left and the UPA.
   
   
2. If the Congress wanted the deal so badly at the risk of early polls, it could have done so last year. The proverbial iron was hot, it would be a game, set and match in a matter of months. All they gained is about a year worth of extra tenure.
   
   
3. In contrast, right now the deal really has little chance of going through.
   
   
4. Left could not abandon their ideological position at any point of time. They would have opposed the deal anyway. Last year was a genuine attempt to make the deal, Congress hoped against hope that the Left might come to a compromise formula - such as CMP+ for N-Deal. This negotiation failed.
   
   
5. Manmohan Singh's image has suffered a setback. The prince is waiting on the bench. Congress needs a strong excuse to flag in the prince, yet weather the ensuing criticisms. Congress also needs to revive the Nehru-Gandhi brand. Manmohan Singh gets to keep the congratulations for posterity.
   
   
6. How about Congress is helpless, like they always are? Suppose the Left demands Manmohan Singh's ouster? Well, A B Bardhan already did.
   
   
7. Now suppose the Samajwadi Party demands Rahul Gandhi be made the PM candidate? Right now they are perched on a fairly high branch of the morality tree - Amar Singh has declared that they won't demand a ministerial berth. He is using the phrase "communal forces" in every other statement. In such a setting, the whole thing will not only sound natural, but even the media will have plenty of ammunition when they face the nation.
   
   
8. For the Left, it does not really matter. They get to keep their ideological stand intact. Deal or no deal, they have saved face in front of their core support base of leftist intellectuals and minorities. The non minority poor that supports the Left are indifferent to the deal.
   
   
9. The Left could not possibly join an NDA alliance. They worked out a nice formula with UPA. So, by diverting focus on the scape goat Manmohan Singh, they can participate in the next UPA Government without embarrassment. This will work even if they lose some seats in the next elections.
   
   
10. An SP and Congress alliance in UP can not get much worse than them fighting each other. On the other hand they have a much greater upside from their low seat counts. For SP it may mean a chance to participate in the Government in the near future. This could be the only way they can elbow in, the UNPA is all but dead.
    
    
11. Cases against Mayawati are suddenly being fast tracked while those against Amar Singh and Mulayam Singh Yadav are being shelved.
    
    
12. The next elections can become a numbers game. Abhishek Singhvi has already stated that he believes that the largest alliance should form the Government, not necessarily the party that wins the most seats.
    
    
13. Inflation is likely to get worse. The constitutional "crisis" is a nice diversionary tactic and a good excuse to bail out before the inflation issue goes completely out of hand.

There are too many coincidences and too many startling developments in this whole drama. News channels like CNN-IBN are playing a bit too dumb to be credible. There is a strong possibility that the whole thing was orchestrated. As a matter of fact, perhaps it was scripted last year itself, down to the last detail. Even last year there were plenty of hints of an SP-Cong alliance which was downplayed.