Mayawati's headaches

As we noted a few times earlier, Mayawati is the biggest problem for Congress for the upcoming mid-term polls (which will happen sometime in 2008). However, for Mayawati, the biggest problem right now is keeping the law and order situation under control.

Mayawati has already been betrayed by Congress. She supported Pratibha Patil in exchange for a massive aid package for UP. The package isn't forthcoming, they are giving her the runaround. Our reading is that Congress simply can not afford to make an alliance with Mayawati. If they do, it will be an implicit acknowledgement that Mayawati can be a viable alternative to Congress for Dalit upliftment. This is a huge problem. It is well known that Maya wants to be the PM, eventually. There are more immediate issues, Haryana may turn out to be an action replay of UP.

Quite naturally, Congress friendly media has been running a smear campaign against her. Bogus stories such as 100 days of Mayawati, Mayawati kicks out Reliance, Mayawati paid off her brother etc. are making rounds.

Let's come back to Mayawati's number one issue right now. It is clear that nefarious elements are trying their level best to start trouble in UP. This is the primary reason Mayawati had to give Reliance the boot. Since then, Mayawati has banned college elections and started an initiative to completely overhaul the police force.

It directly follows that Congress is going to make an alliance with SP. They have two common vote banks. Without Congress, SP does not have a leg to stand on. SP can do Congress' bidding to create trouble for Mayawati. UP has a lot of seats in the Lok Sabha. Meanwhile, the UNPA alliance is unraveling.

Add all this together and you will hear the wedding bells ringing.